The report dropped Monday afternoon on 32 Thoughts. Friedman believes Robertson's next deal lands around $12 million per year, and he wouldn't be surprised if the Stars pay it.
That's a massive raise for a winger currently playing on a $7.75 million cap hit. We're talking about a $4.25 million annual jump on his next contract.
Why Dallas would even consider it isn't a mystery. Robertson just finished a 96-point season. 45 goals, 51 assists, plus-22, and 15 power-play goals across all 82 games.
The 26-year-old also flipped the postseason switch. Through 6 playoff games, he's already at 5 goals and 8 points, including a game-winner.
Compare that to what Rantanen has produced in the same playoff run. 1 goal, 7 points, and a -8 rating over those 6 games for the team's $12 million man.
If Friedman is right, Jim Nill is staring down a math problem with no clean answer in Dallas.
Rantanen at $12M. Robertson at $12M. Two top-six wingers eating $24 million in cap space before you fill out a roster.
And that's before Roope Hintz's situation, before the blue line decisions, before the goaltending picture gets sorted. The Stars are 50-20-12 and third overall. Winning makes everything more expensive.
Here's the awkward part. Robertson has out-produced Rantanen in this playoff run by every meaningful measure, and the gap isn't subtle.
Does Glen Gulutzan's group really hand a second forward $12 million per season? Hockey logic says no. Market logic says yes.
Friedman didn't just float a number. He set the floor. Robertson's camp now has a public benchmark from one of the most plugged-in voices in the sport.
If Dallas wants to keep this group intact past next summer, the bill is coming due. Riding a 5-game winning streak hides a lot of things. It doesn't hide a cap sheet.
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| POLL | ||
MAI 4 | 671 ANSWERS Friedman: Jason Robertson about to cash in with a $12M mega deal? Should the Dallas Stars pay Jason Robertson $12 million per year? | ||
| Yes | 319 | 47.5 % |
| No | 352 | 52.5 % |
| LIST OF POLLS | ||
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16 MAI 2026
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| B | P | PTS | ||
| Rasmus Dahlin | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Tage Thompson | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Jack Quinn | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Zach Benson | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Jake Evans | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Jason Zucker | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Ivan Demidov | 1 | - | 1 | |
| Konsta Helenius | 1 | - | 1 | |
| Zach Metsa | 1 | - | 1 | |
| Arber Xhekaj | 1 | - | 1 | |
| Bowen Byram | - | 1 | 1 | |
| Cole Caufield | - | 1 | 1 | |
| Lane Hutson | - | 1 | 1 | |
| Michael Matheson | - | 1 | 1 | |
| Ryan McLeod | - | 1 | 1 | |
| Josh Norris | - | 1 | 1 | |
| Mattias Samuelsson | - | 1 | 1 | |
| Josh Anderson | - | - | - | |
| Zachary Bolduc | - | - | - | |
| Alexandre Carrier | - | - | - | |
| STATS COMPLÈTES | ||||